So I’ve put together a printable one page sheet that lets you track around 60 districts around the battleground in order of win probabilities. If Democrats take NC-11, for example, a composite of four ...

Polling error agonistes, the recall vote mirage, the PTSD election model, what the early vote can tell us, where I’ll be on ...

Fake pollsters are a problem. So is the audience inclined to believe them because it wants more polls that reinforce its ...

One of the most predictive election indicators is also one of the simplest: which party can best handle the problem Americans think is most important? Gallup now gives Democrats an 11-point lead.

All of our interactive election analysis features this cycle now live in one place, including previews of the House Swingometer, 2026 Polling Index, and our new Senate Explorer tool, as well as ...